MILITARY PLANNING FOR IRAQI FLOODING CONSIDERED
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"The top image is a false-color composite made from data collected by the
Multi-Spectral Scanner (MSS) aboard Landsat from 1973-76. Four Landsat scenes were stitched together to make an
image of the whole region. In this scene, dense marsh vegetation (mainly phragmites, or marsh grass) appears as
dark red patches. The elongated red patches along the banks of the Shatt-al-Arab River are Date Palm groves. The
Shatt-al-Arab begins where the Tigris and Euphrates meet and carries their waters southeastward into the
Persian Gulf."
"The bottom image is a false-color composite of data from the Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper
Plus (ETM+), acquired on March 26 and May 4, 2000. In this scene, most of the Central Marshes appear as olive
to greyish-brown patches indicating low vegetation cover on moist to dry ground. The very light to grey patches
are areas of exposed ground with no vegetation, which may actually be salt flats where before there were
lakes. The Al Hawizeh Marsh (straddling the Iran-Iraq border just east of the Tigris River) appears to be
all that remains of the region's natural wetlands, and it has been reduced in size by about half.
"
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BBSNews - 2003-03-21 -- Department of Defense military planners are considering
operational strategies in response to possible flooding by Iraqi
military forces. If the Iraqi military releases water into the
Tigris River from upstream reservoirs, extensive flooding
between Baghdad and Al Kut could occur. Thousands of Iraqis
could be displaced, adding to congestion on roads and requiring
extensive humanitarian support.
Despite Saddam Hussein's claims to the contrary, historical
precedence indicates Iraqi military strategies include the
release of water as a viable option for deterring enemy forces.
For example, during the Iran-Iraq war, the Iraqi military
created water obstacles to deter Iranian advances.
Iraq's strategy could include releasing a small amount of water
from major dams and canals to interrupt maneuvering units. Iraq
also could cause catastrophic flooding of portions of the Tigris
and Euphrates river valleys, either by releasing large amounts
of water from dams or by destroying them. The latter could
cause major humanitarian crises in parts of Iraq, though Baghdad
would experience minimal damage.
Conditions in certain portions of Southern Iraq will get worse
as the rainy season and snow melt-off in the north proceed
during March and April. Areas currently flooded may be
impassible for four to six weeks, even without additional water.
The Hussein regime could incorporate the flooding into
defensive preparations to slow the advance of coalition forces.
This tactic could force coalition units or displaced persons
through flooded areas.
The Al Qadisiyah Dam and its Hadiyha Reservoir are the primary
water sources for possible strategic flooding. The strategic
release of water from five reservoirs-Saddam, Dokan, Al Azim,
Darbandikhan and the Diyala-could be initiated to increase the
flow rate of the Tigris. Water levels will likely rise in these
reservoirs as the rainy season continues.
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Michael Hess is the Editor of BBSNews in Charlotte, NC. Write to the editor here. Not all submissions are published. Or visit the completely new BBSNews Blog and Forum on our front page - Please Participate in BBSNews!
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